Last Chance for a World Without HIV and AIDS - Scientific Station™ - 20 November 2009

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Last Chance for a World Without HIV and AIDS by Brendan Craughwell

Robert Smith and fellow researchers in Canada propose in the journal BioMedical Central that we may now have our last, best chance at eradicating HIV and AIDS.

And the way to get rid of it. . .money.

$60 billion dollars has been raised to spend on treating HIV and AIDS for the next 20 years. This money will be held in reserve and released incrementally.

The researchers developed a mathematical model demonstrating that with population growth and global migration HIV will perpetuate itself in humans despite this 20 year plan.

However, the model predicts that if the plan is modified and funded at $63 billion over 5 years, eradication may be possible.

This linear differential equation model divides the world by regions and directs the spending in each region to achieve a 2/5 reduction in the HIV infection rate by focusing on education and condom distribution.

Eradication must occur on a global scale to be effective.

Should these interventions not be made, the model predicts that in twenty years HIV eradication will no longer be possible due to the high cost of dealing with a larger world population.

copyright 2009 Brendan Craughwell. All rights reserved. SCIENTIFIC STATION is a trademark of Brendan Craughwell. All rights reserved.